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This paper analyses the impact of economic conditions on Portuguese municipal electoral outcomes. We use two extensive datasets to estimate an economic voting model which accounts for the possibility that different levels of government have different levels of responsibility for economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014177332
This paper analyses the impact of economic conditions on Portuguese local electoral outcomes. We use two extensive datasets to estimate an economic voting model which accounts for the possibility that different levels of government have different levels of responsibility for economic outcomes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014157000
Using thirty years of municipal elections in France, we show that election results affect the share of immigrants …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013498912
This paper develops a theoretical framework that makes predictions on (a) the conditions under which a populist party decides to run and the policy position it takes and (b) voters' response under different electoral systems. We test these predictions using data on Italian municipal elections...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299798
We use elections data in which a large number of ties in vote counts between candidates are resolved via a lottery to study the personal incumbency advantage. We benchmark non‐experimental regression discontinuity design (RDD) estimates against the estimate produced by this experiment that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011994548
Lower-level officials often engage in clientelistic relations with the upper-level government. The nature of these relations might be determined by institutional factors such as how the lower-level officials come into their position. This paper specifically highlights the different political...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012061322
association between these budget variables and the actual election results. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011857834
The 2017 U.S. Senate Special Election in Alabama, which was decided on 12 December 2017, was one of the most … this particular election provide the heretofore unexamined impact of political scandal on localism or friends …-and-neighbors voting in political contests. Based on data from the 2017 special election in Alabama, econometric results presented here …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011902828
state tier. This e ffect only materializes in the election year which suggests that mayors under the new electoral rule put … more e ffort into grant applications for highly visible infrastructure projects in order to increase their re-election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010485272
A standard finding in the literature on political agency is that voters punish incumbents who raise taxes. Typically, only the reaction of a representative voter is considered, with the notion that all voters dislike high taxes because the revenue is, at least on the margin, spent on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446608