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This paper considers the effects of changes in risk on optimal decisions under risk in an analytical framework assuming …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910217
Certain classes of system-level risk depend partly on decentralized lay decision making. For instance, an organization …-level misclassification costs, decentralized behavioral decision makers are biased toward under-detection, and system-level risk is …'s network security risk depends partly on its employees' responses to phishing attacks. On a larger scale, the risk within a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054936
In many decisions under uncertainty, there are technological constraints on the acts an agent can perform and on the events she can observe. To model this, we assume that the set S of possible states of the world and the set X of possible outcomes each have a topological structure. The only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012922525
This paper investigates the effect of ambiguity on personal vaccination decision. We first characterize the vaccination … decision in the absence of ambiguity. We then show that uncertainty about the probability of side effects and the efficacy of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231813
A three-dimension analytical framework for decision under risk is presented, in which preference is defined as a … except that the independence axiom is assumed only for the valuation of utility-reward (u) and disutility-risk (d), compound … utility theory (CUT) is developed that represents reference-dependent preferences in a straightforward manner. As a simple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014066286
We consider a standard one-agent decision-making problem under risk and we address the following question: under what … conditions is utility maximization equivalent to 'risk' minimization, where the measure of risk used by the decision-maker is a … conservative coherent risk measure? …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014263940
Anscombe and Aumann (1963) offer a definition of subjective probability in terms of comparisons with objective probabilities. That definition - which has provided the basis for much of the succeeding work on subjective probability - presumes that the subjective probability of an event is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013259255
-known paradoxa of decision theory. …In this paper, we propose an interpretation of the Hilbert space method used in quantum theory in the context of … decision making under uncertainty. For a clear comparison we will stay as close as possible to the framework of SEU suggested …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011745366
is not only risk averse but also regret averse. Regret-averse preferences are characterized by a modified utility … firm optimally increases (decreases) its futures position when the price risk possesses more positive (negative) skewness. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012112834
This paper compares Bayesian decision theory with robust decision theory where the decision maker optimizes with … respect to the worst state realization. For a class of robust decision problems there exists a sequence of Bayesian decision … risk aversion and that decisions are insensitive (robust) to the precise assignment of prior probabilities. This holds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765345