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This paper investigates the degree of persistence of market fear. Specifically, two different long-memory approaches (R/S analysis with the Hurst exponent method and fractional integration) are used to analyse persistence of the VIX index over the sample period 2004-2016, as well as some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011669019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010519398
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013279939
The study analyses the interaction between the trading behaviour of 1,024 moving average and momentum models and the fluctuations of the yen-dollar exchange rate. I show first that these models would have exploited exchange rate trends quite profitably between 1976 and 2007. I then show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135725
This paper examines the impact of Dollar exchange rate volatility on firm productivity in Emerging Markets economies … volatility reduces firm productivity growth. Exploring channels, its finds that the results are driven by countries with low … impact on firm productivty. Further, exploiting firm level data, the paper shows that dollar exchange rate volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350158
In this study a regime switching approach is applied to estimate the chartist and fundamentalist (c&f) exchange rate model originally proposed by Frankel and Froot (1986). The c&f model is tested against alternative regime switching specifications applying likelihood ratio tests. Nested...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765353
volatility processes. This is called a GSSF-SV model. We show that conventional MCMC algorithms for this type of model are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334849
This paper investigates whether the RMB is in the process of replacing the US dollar as the anchor currency in nine ASEAN countries, and also the linkages between the ASEAN currencies and a regional currency unit. A long-memory (fractional integration) model allowing for endogenously determined...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012985392
This paper investigates whether the RMB is in the process of replacing the US dollar as the anchor currency in nine ASEAN countries, and also the linkages between the ASEAN currencies and a regional currency unit. A long-memory (fractional integration) model allowing for endogenously determined...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987031
In the aftermath of the Covid pandemic rising commodity prices went hand-in-hand with a strengthening US dollar. This was a sharp contrast to the usual relationship between commodity prices and the dollar. This paper presents evidence that post-Covid correlation patterns could become more common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014356958