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After three decades of rapid growth, the Chinese economy has been slowing; at the same time, concerns about the sustainability of its growth model are mounting, calling for urgent rebalancing. This paper provides an assessment of how, and to what extent, the rebalancing process may impact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014132774
The paper examines changes in the Bulgarian economy following the global financial and economic crisis of 2008. The discussion is primarily based on the behavior of economic agents in the crisis – households and companies. The paper also seeks to address the changes in the external and fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012985515
We propose a theoretical framework to reconcile episodes of V-shaped and L-shaped recovery, encompassing the behaviour of the U.S. economy before and after the Great Recession. In a DSGE model with endogenous growth, negative demand shocks destroy productive capacity, moving GDP to a lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533939
capital accumulation. Further, and across different theoretical approaches, residential investment is seen as a critical …). Second, aggregate investment is then split into its residential and nonresidential categories. Results confirm that … residential investment leads the cycle, whereas nonresidential investment lags it. Finally, this study argues that residential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448820
This paper studies the role of investment-specific shocks as an amplification mechanism of labor market fluctuations …. We first show evidence suggesting that after a fall in the relative price of new equipment, not only do investment and … output increase but firms also post more vacancies, hours worked increase and unemployment falls. Moreover, we study the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109615
investment and high unemployment … and investment. We show that, depending on the model parameters, four qualitatively different outcomes can emerge …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211846
to employment growth, but are also pronounced for investment. Moreover, the medium-term decline in firm employment growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353733
, speculative bubbles and post-bubble secular stagnation. To prevent a similar scenario for China capital controls, a tighter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011475972
Recession. In this paper I demonstrate the role of bubbles in secular stagnation. Bubbles increase the natural rate of interest …, hence they alleviate the cause of secular stagnation. This suggests a positive role for bubbles, however bubbles are … intrinsically unstable. Larger bubbles are shown to be more unstable, and upon collapse the natural rate of interest falls …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960801
unemployment rates. The possibility of a double-dip recession is also explored …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038549