We study the problem of finding the worst-case joint distribution of a set of risk factors given prescribed multivariate marginals with nonlinear loss function. The method has applications to any situation where marginals are provided, and bounds need to be determined on total portfolio risk....

This paper focuses on simulation-based inference for the time-deformation models directed by a duration process. In order to describe the heavy tail property of the time series of financial asset returns, the innovation of the observation equation is assumed to have a Student-t distribution....

This paper proposes a parsimonious threshold stochastic volatility (SV) model for financial asset returns. Instead of imposing a threshold value on the dynamics of the latent volatility process of the SV model, we assume that the innovation of the mean equation follows a threshold distribution...