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present value theory. Long-term government bond yields exhibit predictive power over all horizons from one month through five …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238244
We propose a Conditional Autoregressive Wishart (CAW) model for the analysis of realized covariance matrices of asset returns. Our model assumes a generalized linear autoregressive moving average structure for the scale matrix of the Wishart distribution allowing to accommodate for complex...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133422
In this paper we investigate asymmetries in time-varying means, volatilities, correlations, and betas of equity returns in a multivariate threshold framework. We consider alternative specifications in which the threshold variable is based on well-established equity pricing factors and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118202
In this study, the well-known pairs trading strategy, one of typical market neutral strategies, is modified to be able to utilize high frequency equity data, and it is applied to the constituent shares of the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) 100 index. This study is distinguished from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121322
The paper develops a Markov switching multifractal model with dynamic conditional correlations. The objective is to give more flexibility to the initial bivariate Markov switching multifractal model [MSM] (Calvet et al. (2006)) by introducing some time dependency in the comovement structure. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146148
We investigate the direct connection between the uncertainty related to estimated stable ratios of stock prices and risk and return of two pairs trading strategies: a conditional statistical arbitrage method and an implicit arbitrage one. A simulation-based Bayesian procedure is introduced for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056713
In 1936, John Maynard Keynes proposed that emotions and instincts are pivotal in decision-making, particularly for investors. Both positive and negative moods can influence judgments and decisions, extending to economic and financial choices. Intuitions, emotional states, and biases...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015179749
We propose a new class of conditional heteroskedasticity in the volatility (CH-V) models which allows for time-varying volatility of volatility in the volatility of asset returns. This class nests a variety of GARCH-type models and the SHARV model of Ding (2021b). CH-V models can be seen as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214647
We study the impact of the arrival of macroeconomic news on the informational and noise-driven components in high-frequency quote processes and their conditional variances. We decompose bid and ask returns into a common ("efficient return") factor and two market-side-specific components...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113491
We study the impact of the arrival of macroeconomic news on the informational and noise-driven components in high-frequency quote processes and their conditional variances. Bid and ask returns are decomposed into a common ("efficient return") factor and two market-side-specific components...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952800