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term return forecasting is less acute, which augments the estimation errors and finally, the news about dividends growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137822
The paper suggests a nonlinear and multivariate time series model framework that enables the study of simultaneity in returns and in volatilities, as well as asymmetric effects arising from shocks. Using daily data 2000-2006 for the Baltic state stock exchanges and that of Moscow we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155485
The time-varying correlation between oil prices returns and European industrial sector indices returns, considering the origin of the oil price shock, is investigated. A time-varying multivariate heteroskedastic framework is employed to test the above hypothesis based on data from 10 European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910133
Oil is perceived as a good diversification tool for stock markets. To fully understand this potential, we propose a new empirical methodology that combines generalized autoregressive score copula functions with high frequency data and allows us to capture and forecast the conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035318
& Hautsch (2006) to panel duration data. We show how to estimate the model parameters by a simulated maximum likelihood … behavioral biases and discuss implications for portfolio theory. -- Trading Activity Datasets ; Panel Intensity Models ; Latent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003449935
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724340
This paper offers an improvement to the trade-to-trade model for event studies. While the trade-to-trade model of Maynes and Rumsey (1993) addresses the problem of thin trading by eliminating periods in which no trading is recorded, the proposed improvement addresses the influence of zero-value...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138994
This study presents and empirically tests a simple framework that examines the effects of market liquidity (the ease with which stocks are traded) and funding liquidity (the ease with which market participants can obtain funding) on stock market bubbles. Three key findings emerge from this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063524
We document the forecasting gains achieved by incorporating measures of signed, finite and infinite jumps in forecasting the volatility of equity prices, using high-frequency data from 2000 to 2016. We consider the SPY and 20 stocks that vary by sector, volume and degree of jump activity. We use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030057
This study seeks to investigate the sensitivity of stock returns to exchange rate, interest rate and oil price volatility in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. It employs both the multivariate ordinary least square (OLS) regression and the exponential generalized autoregressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834658