We use the Shiller CAPE Model proposed by Mebane Faber as a template for the exploration of a variety of portfolio optimization methods. By virtue of the Model's systematic allocation to the 'cheapest' markets with the highest theoretical risk premia, the model has the potential to extract high...

Grinold linked investment alpha and Information Ratio to the breadth of independent active bets in an investment universe with his Fundamental Law of Active Management. Breadth is often misinterpreted as the number of eligible securities in a manager's investment universe, but this ignores the...

The paper addresses flaws in the traditional application of Modern Portfolio Theory related to Strategic Asset Allocation. Estimates of parameters for portfolio optimization based on long-term observed average values are shown to be inferior to alternative estimates based on observations over...

Intro -- Title Page -- Copyright -- Table of Contents -- Dedication -- Acknowledgments -- Part I: The Philosophy of Successful Investing -- Chapter 1: The Most Important Concepts in Wealth Management -- Chapter 2: The Narrative Is Reality -- Chapter 3: Tightly Grouped Arrows Nowhere Near the...

Mean-Variance Optimization (MVO) as introduced by Markowitz (1952) is often presented as an elegant but impractical theory. MVO is "an unstable and error-maximizing" procedure (Michaud 1989), and "is nearly always beaten by simple 1/N portfolios" (DeMiguel, 2007). And to quote Ang (2014):...

Information on the uncertainty of quantitative results feeding into public decision making is essential for designing robust policies. However, this information is often not available in relation to the economics of greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation in agriculture. This paper analyses the...