When using daily mutual fund returns to study the market timing, heavy tails and heteroscedasticity significantly challenge the existing methods. We to accommodate them, we propose a new measure and an efficient test for market timing ability and find that the traditional test misclassifies...

This paper analyses the purchase and redemption behaviour of mutual fund investors and its implications on fund liquidity risk. We collect a novel set of proprietary data which contains a large number of French investors holding funds with various degrees of asset liquidity. We build a...

This paper uses stochastic dominance techniques to examine whether managerial skills vary across fund managers in European equity funds. The use of these techniques allows us to compare different investment alternatives in an uncertain setting under very simple assumptions regarding investor...

We measure the ability of professional investment managers in timing cashflow vs. discount-rate news, the two components of market returns. We find that the average U.S. equity mutual fund exhibits cashflow-timing skills of 2.12/year, but discount-rate timing of -0.84/year; further,...

We show that active equity funds deliberately alter their factor loadings rather than maintaining a constant style. Changes are larger following quarters in which funds either under- or out-perform other funds based on returns or fund flows. Motivated by this observation, we identify a new...

When sellers set the price for ex-ante unobservable and ex-post unenforceable quality, price signals credence quality. Hedge funds resemble incomplete long-term contracts for credence goods under buyer-determined auctions. I show that hedge funds' ability to solicit investments at higher...

In this study, we propose a set of covariates that exploit information content of hedge funds' relative size, performance, growth, tail risk, and past liquidation rate, in predicting their liquidation. Empirical results show that our proposed covariates exhibit significant predictive power for...

We develop a directional trading model and a crisis management model to measure fund manager skills more adequately. We test the robustness of both traditional market timing models and new management skill models to changes in their underlying investor utility function and excess return...

This study provides formal theoretical evidence that constructions of fund alpha that are implemented using robust specifications of asset pricing models generate alpha estimates that are well defined. Regardless, the formal theoretical model shows fund alphas that are constructed with the...