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I examine the relationship between aggregate news sentiment, S&P 500 Index returns, and changes in the implied volatility index (VIX). I find a significant negative contemporaneous relationship between changes in VIX and both news sentiment and stock returns. This relationship is asymmetric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007790
We provide evidence that equity investors with limited attention are slow to incorporate how current oil price changes affect future earnings announcements. A cross-sectional equity trading strategy that exploits this inefficiency yields an annualized Sharpe Ratio of 0.57. Stock prices respond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852476
We provide a psychological explanation for the delayed price response to news about economically linked firms. We show that the return predictability of economically linked firms depends on the nearness to the 52-week high stock price. The interaction between news about economically linked firms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852966
By using an extensive dataset of more than 32 million messages on 91 firms posted on the Yahoo! Finance message board over the period January 2005 to December 2010, we examine whether investor sentiment as expressed in posted messages has predictive power for stock returns, volatility, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055619
Asset prices are a valuable source of information about financial market participants.expectations about key macroeconomic variables. However, the presence of time-varying risk premia requires an adjustment of market prices to obtain the market’s rational assessment of future price and policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622575
drift estimation and equity premium dynamics leading to predictability of short run daily returns under appropriate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220276
There is a generalized conviction that variation in dividend yields is exclusively related to expected returns and not to expected dividend growth - e.g. Cochrane's presidential address (Cochrane (2011)). We show that this pattern, although valid for the aggregate stock market, is not true for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036406
Using the minute-frequency data of the top 30 coins listed on Binance, which represent 86% of the total dollar trading volume of the cryptocurrency market, we document strong evidence of cross-cryptocurrency return predictability. The lagged returns of other cryptocurrencies serve as significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212875
The purpose of this research is to examine the impact of sentiment derived from news headlines on the direction of stock price changes. The study examines stocks listed on the WIG-banking sub-sector index on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. Two types of data were used: textual and market data. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012887921
We present significant evidence of out-of-sample equity premium predictability for a host of industrialized countries over the postwar period. There are important differences, however, in the nature of equity premium predictability between the United States and other developed countries. Taken...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146627