Studies analyzing return expectations of financial market participants like fund managers, CFOs or individual investors are highly influential in academia and practice. We argue and show that the results in these surveys above are easily influenced by the elicitation mode of return expectations....

We analyze the role of hedge fund, swap dealer and arbitrageur activity in a Markov regime-switching model between high volatility bear markets and low volatility bull markets for crude oil, corn and Mini-S&P500 index futures. We find that these institutional positions reflect fundamental...

This paper analyzes whether the market portfolio is efficiently related to benchmark portfolios formed on size, value, momentum and reversal with various utility theories by using stochastic dominance criteria. The results support the prospect theory including assumption of loss aversion at...

A number of papers in literature have looked for momentum profitability in international stock markets, but little is known about these investment strategies in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) markets. This dissertation seeks to investigate positive return continuation in these emerging...

This paper reports evidence of intraday return predictability, consisting of both intraday momentum and reversal, in the cryptocurrency market. Using high-frequency price data on Bitcoin from March 3, 2013, to May 31, 2020, it shows that the patterns of intraday return predictability change in...

This paper examines whether momentum drives the disposition effect and vice versa in the US stock market. The results from the analysis of the Fama-Macbethregressions show that the disposition effect drives momentum but not the other way around. Furthermore, we find that this relationship varies...

Using a semi-supervised topic model on 7,000,000 New York Times articles spanning 160 years, we test whether topics of media discourse predict future stock and bond market returns to test rational and behavioral hypotheses about market valuation of disaster risk. Focusing on media discourse...

This paper examines the momentum strategy in Australia under the debate on whether momentum strategy is profitable in Australia. It studies both the price and alpha momentum strategy performance under several lookback periods, and applies short position adjustment and volatility scaling. I...

The previous literature on momentum investments has only considered the so called unconstrained momentum return. This paper will investigate budget constrained momentum returns by using two different datasets. The conclusion is that unconstrained momentum returns systematically overestimate the...

We consider the hedging problem where a futures position can be automatically liquidated by theexchange without notice. We derive a semi-closed form for an optimal hedging strategy with dualobjectives -- to minimise both the variance of the hedged portfolio and the probability of liquidationsdue...