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It has been widely documented in laboratory experiments that subjects act more risk-averse when they make their decisions frequently (e.g., one as opposed to several decisions at a time), a phenomenon dubbed "myopic loss aversion" by Benartzi and Thaler (1995). The present paper uses two new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902808
We define asset manager career risk as the risk that asset owners terminate an existing manager due to an extended period of underperformance relative to a benchmark or peer group even though the manager has skill (defined here as positive information ratio). We show that myopic loss aversion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903812
How do individuals value noisy information that guides economic decisions? In our laboratory experiment, we find that individuals under-react to increasing the informativeness of a signal, thus undervalue high-quality information, and that they disproportionately prefer information that may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904826
The moderate utility model represents the probability of choosing an option in a pairwise comparison as an increasing function of utility difference divided by a dissimilarity metric. We provide a single, directly testable property that characterizes the model: choices are moderately transitive....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898237
What matters to economic decision-making is whether the economy has become more or less predictable. People and businesses use information around them to form judgements about what might happen in the future. The rise in uncertainty might be associated with increased concern about extreme...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866688
I study the implications of Abraham Wald's (1947) complete class theorem for decision making under Knightian uncertainty (or ambiguity). Suppose we call someone who uses Wald's approach to statistical decision making a Waldian. A Waldian may then have preferences over acts that are not in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972129
We provide evidence that sellers respond to buyers' belief biases in a collective lottery betting market, by adopting sales strategies which cater to believers in the Hot Hand and Gambler's Fallacies. Lottery players on the buyer side tend to avoid buying tickets which are similar to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004123
The authors propose that attempts to increase consumers' objective knowledge (OK) regarding financial instruments can deter willingness to invest when such attempts diminish consumers' subjective knowledge (SK). In four studies, the authors use different SK manipulations and investment products...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013160
We investigate experimentally preferences between different ambiguous processes generated by two-color Ellsberg urns. By providing symmetric information on urns with different numbers of beads and keeping the information on the most optimistic, pessimistic, and equal probability of winning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852243
We give a full characterization of the continuation and stopping regions of optimal stopping of diffusions. We consider separately the case of a naive agent who is unaware of the possible time inconsistency in her behavior and the case of a sophisticated agent who is fully aware of such an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854784