A small but ambitious literature uses affine arbitrage-free models to estimate jointly U.S. Treasury term premiums and the term structure of equity risk premiums. Within this approach, this paper identifies the parameter restrictions that are consistent with a simple dividend discount model,...

This paper proposes a simple two-factor model of nominal term structure of interest rates, in which the log-price kernel has an autoregressive drift process and a nonlinear GARCH volatility process. Given these two state-variable processes, closed-form expressions are derived for the zero-coupon...

Term premiums, defined as the excess return of long-dated contracts over short-dated contracts, in commodity futures are strongly predictable, both in the time series and in the cross section, by roll yield spreads. Strategies that exploit this predictability show sizable Sharpe ratios and are...

Interest rate variance risk premium (IRVRP), the difference between implied and realized variances of interest rates, emerges as a strong predictor of Treasury bond returns of maturities ranging between one and ten years for return horizons up to six months. IRVRP is not subsumed by other...

In what follows we quote the Hull-White 1 factor and Ho-Lee model dynamics and their corresponding Eurodollar convexity adjustment formulas. We then show that, in the special case where the Hull-White mean reversion parameter is zero, the adjustment under the Hull-White and Ho-Lee models is...

Closed form solution for pricing SPX options is developed in the quartic λ pricing model aka λ = 4. The solution fits the term structure of SPX volatility smiles very well, from the shortest expiration dates all the way up to one year, on three distinct market conditions. The ATM volatility,...

I find that stocks with high sensitivities to changes in the VIX slope exhibit high returns on average. The price of VIX slope risk is approximately 2.5% annually, statistically significant and cannot be explained by other common factors, such as the market excess return, size, book-to-market,...

HJM one-factor models (including Hull White) have many applications within finance. The risk neutral measure is one of the most common measures to use with HJM models. Since the risk neutral numeraire (money market account) and bond are driven by the same Brownian motion it is frequently assumed...

We provide analytic pricing formulas for Fixed and Floating Range Accrual Notes within the multi-factor Wishart affine framework which extends significantly the standard affine model. Using estimates for three short rate models, two of which are based on the Wishart process whilst the third one...

The empirical tests of traditional structural models of credit risk tend to indicate that such models have been unsuccessful in the modeling of credit spreads. To address these negative findings some authors introduce single-factor stochastic volatility specifications and/or jumps.In the yield...