Showing 91 - 100 of 145,428
based on averages of past futures returns, normalized by their volatility. We test these strategies on a universe of 64 … asset class, realized futures volatility is contemporaneously negatively related to the Fama and French (1987) market (MKT … in trading costs. We construct measures of momentum-specific volatility, both within and across asset classes, and show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011293745
growing importance of emerging markets, the literature on the nature of volatility in global markets is typified by … volatility in developed G7 and emerging BRICS markets. Broad market index data and GARCH models over the period 2003 …:01–2020:08 were employed. The study found evidence of volatility persistence, asymmetry, mean reversion and weak evidence of a risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012872753
predictive variance. We show theoretically how this adjustment factor affects both average and volatility of excess returns. We … related to excess volatility as predicted by the model. Further confirming the model's implications, we also show how stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487731
volatility of Borsa Istanbul 100 Index (BIST-100). Sample data cover the period from January 2008 to December 2017. The main … nonlinear volatility models (symmetric and asymmetric Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity [GARCH …]-type models) were used to model and estimate BIST-100 volatility in response to political news. The findings of the paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012131511
The main task of this paper is to determine accuracy of some of widely used technical analysis techniques for MBI-10 stocks price forecast at MSE. We are testing accuracy of several technical analysis techniques: MACD (Moving-Average Convergence/Divergence), RSI (Relative Strength Index),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780553
This study investigated how stock market volatility responded dynamically to unexpected changes during the COVID-19 … pandemic and the resulting uncertainty in Thailand. Using a multivariate GARCH-BEKK model, the conditional volatility dynamics …, the interlinkages, and the conditional correlations between stock market volatility and the increasing rate of COVID-19 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014284290
This study examines the determinants of time-varying return volatility of Africa's equity markets using monthly indices … of eight top African stock markets. The conditional variance is modelled as a proxy for Africa's volatility indices using … volatility, the least squares dummy variable bias correction (LSDVC) model is employed. The study finds that volatility of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501248
Undiversifiable (or systematic risk) has long been an enemy of investors. Many countercyclical strategies have been developed to counter this. However, like all insurance types, these strategies are generally costly to implement, and over time can significantly reduce portfolio returns in long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408803
We find that the relation between the idiosyncratic volatility (IVOL) anomaly and the beta anomaly is quite different …-alpha relation. A measure of idiosyncratic volatility over a long window, popularly used by the investments industry to construct low-volatility … low volatility investing, and enrich the debate about the relation between the two low-risk anomalies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223656
We study the term structure of variance (total risk), systematic and idiosyncratic risk. Consistent with the expectations hypothesis, we find that, for the entire market, the slope of the term structure of variance is mainly informative about the path of future variance. Thus, there is little...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751173