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Asian financial crisis. In this paper, we study the fractal and long-memory characteristics in the volatility of five ASEAN …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010872092
Lévy, the behaviour of volatility correlations is still poorly understood. What is well known is that absolute returns have … memory on a long time range, this phenomenon is known in financial literature as clustering of volatility. In this paper we … show that volatility correlations are power laws with a non-unique scaling exponent. This kind of multiscale phenomenology …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010872277
We investigate the origin of volatility in financial markets by defining an analytical model for time evolution of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010872475
build a hybrid model that most notably describes the price change and associated volatility probability density …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010872579
This paper examines the impact of the introduction of stock index futures on the volatility of the Istanbul Stock … that the introduction of futures trading reduced the conditional volatility of ISE-30 index. Results further indicate that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010872696
increase stock market returns. Moreover, the volatility of oil prices has a negative impact on international stock market … oil price variations. In addition, the asymmetry of oil price changes impacts oil volatility; i.e., when oil prices soar …, oil volatility also increases, while negative oil price changes dampen volatility. Finally, oil price fluctuations are a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008625890
Modern economies are characterized by endemic financial crisis, a good performance of the financial systems requiring the guarantee of the deposits and the regulating authority of the central bank. The current economic and financial crisis has as real causes the increase in the prices of certain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008631625
In this paper, we examine the evolution of the S&P500 returns volatility around market crashes using a Markov …-Switching model. We find that volatility typically switches into the high volatility state well before a crash and remains in the high … volatility by uniformed traders result in a crash. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008634614
This paper explores whether the relevance of a conditional multifactor model and autocorrelation in predicting the Russian aggregate stock return fluctuates over time. The source of return predictability is shown to vary considerably with information flow. In general, predictability of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010666220
This paper analyzes two indexes in order to capture the volatility inherent in El Niños Southern Oscillations (ENSO … suitable for modelling ENSO volatility accurately, and that 1998 is a turning point, which indicates that the ENSO strength has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010667375