Recent empirical studies report predictable dynamics in the volatility surfaces implied by observed index option prices …

adding power to stochastic volatility and jump diffusion models. Anchoring versions converge to corresponding Black …-Scholes, stochastic volatility, and jump diffusion models if adjustments to underlying currency risks to get to option risks are correct …

This paper provides an empirical study on the predictability of implied volatility using dataset collected from the … implied volatility characteristics across various maturities. We applied both in and out-of-sample tests that include the … provides evidence of non-random movement in the implied volatility series and indicates predictability of implied volatility …

the pricing of European-style foreign currency options and for the volatility strike structure implicit in these contracts … is devoloped. The curvature of the volatility strike structure is explained by focusing attention on the expected … characteristic convex shape of volatility strike structures documented in the empirical literature. A volatility-based test for …

period to alter either the level or the volatility of the $/DM spot rate is examined. Volatility quotes implicit in foreign …

Option prices seem to behave in ways inconsistent with the Black-Scholes model. Implied volatility varies with the … strike price in a parabolic shape that is often called the volatility 'smile.' My objective in this paper is to identify … promising in explaining the volatility smile. Applying this to the ERM data, I find that the probability of a devaluation in the …

volatility of the options prices. The approach is flexible in that different objective functions for predicting the underlying … volatility can be modified and adapted in the proposed framework. The framework is implemented empirically for four major … (MEM) of implied volatility and the GARCH(1,1). The results indicate that the proposed framework is capable of producing …