This paper presents an empirical analysis of speculative attacks on pegged exchange rates in 22 countries between 1967 and 1992. We define speculative attacks or crises as large movements in exchange rates, interest rates, and international reserves. We develop stylized facts concerning the...

The paper considers the case for fiscal restrictions like the Excessive Deficits Procedure of the Maastrict Treaty and the origin of borrowing restrictions in the U.S. and Australia

Thus, neither the total supply nor the total demand for reserves is likely to change dramatically. There is no compelling argument for an SDR allocation to avert a pending global liquidity shortage or to remove an intrinsic instability in the reserve-supply process. There is a consistent...

In this paper we review what is known about exchange rate crises. We then draw out lessons for the choice of exchange rate regime. We show the dilemmas of exchange rate management are particularly acute for small, open developing economies. Freely floating exchange rates are not tolerable for...

Recent research, both historical and contemporary, has broadened existing analyses of the connections between financial markets and macroeconomic conditions to embrace debt deflation and financial instability explanations for business cycle fluctuations. This paper explores two episodes on which...