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This paper demonstrates the way in which stock-flow matching with endogenous seller entry generates hot and cold spells in house sales. Potential sellers know the number of bidders remaining from the last house sale. If two or more bidders remain, the seller obtains the gains to trade through...
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Like many other assets, housing prices are quite volatile relative to observable changes in fundamentals. If we are going to understand boom-bust housing cycles, we must incorporate housing supply. In this paper, we present a simple model of housing bubbles that predicts that places with more...
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This article provides the in-sample estimation and evaluates the out-of-sample conditional mean and volatility forecast … poorly in conditional mean and volatility forecast …
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Housing markets experience substantial price volatility, short term price change momentum and mean reversion of prices …
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