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(GMM) estimation are both suitable for MSM-t models, (ii) empirical panel forecasts of MSM-t models show an improvement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003864486
In this paper, we extend the concept of News Impact Curve developed by Engle and Ng (1993) to the higher moments of the multivariate returns' distribution, thereby providing a tool to investigate the impact of shocks on the characteristics of the subsequent distribution. For this purpose, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003394353
This paper examines the predictability of a range of international stock markets where we allow the presence of both local and global predictive factors. Recent research has argued that US returns have predictive power for international stock returns. We expand this line of research, following...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011487829
This study focuses on the diversification benefits of the most developed equity markets of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). To evaluate these benefits of diversification we use so-called spanning tests based on a stochastic discount factor approach and estimated by General Methods of Moments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444904
In this paper, we explore the interconnection and existing relationships between the Sovereign Credit Default Swaps (henceforth, CDS) and the stock markets of the main European countries. Thus, the goal of this paper is to test if the CDS premia can predict the stock market returns of the most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011870707
relevant economic sectors. Within four different estimation methods, the state-space specification outperformed the rest. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015331104
This paper studies the profitability of a selection of prominent momentum-based strategies in the European Monetary Union. In contrast to past examples documenting the lack of profitability of unconditional price momentum in the most recent decade, the current research finds that unconditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028257
Stock and options markets can disagree about a stock's value because of informed trading in options and/or price pressure in the stock. The predictability of stock returns based on this cross- market discrepancy in values is especially strong when accompanied by stock price pressure, and it does...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903797
indicators (price pressure, change in volume), and short-term interest rates. We adopt two new alternative testing and estimation …. Both methods take explicit account of endogeneity of predictors, providing bias-reduced estimation and improved statistical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025410
This paper examines whether illiquidity is a determinant of monthly stock returns in the German market. Estimating time-series and cross-sectional models, we investigate the impact of illiquidity both on market returns and on individual stock returns. Illiquidity is approximated by five measures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139581