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The procedure for estimating probabilities of future investment returns using time-shifted indexes is based on the simple principle that a multi-dimensional conditional probability distribution can be envisioned involving investment total returns (for a single investment or a fixed portfolio of...
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these evaluation functions. Functions in the lmForc package are built around a new S4 class, Forecast, which introduces a … test model specifications and understand precisely how a model arrives at a forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014030652
The procedure for estimating probabilities of future investment returns using time-shifted indexes is based on the simple principle that a multi-dimensional conditional probability distribution can be envisioned involving investment total returns (for a single investment or a fixed portfolio of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014198891
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component model forecast weights, which is a novel approach introduced by this study. The data set employed includes a time … forecasts of all models (component and combining), mean absolute percentage forecast errors (MAPE) are calculated and model … their hedging decisions on a combination of forecasts generated by ARIMA-TF and ANN models, with the forecast weights …
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