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We define a dynamic and self-adjusting mixture of Gaussian Graphical Models to cluster financial returns, and provide a new method for extraction of nonparametric estimates of dynamic alphas (excess return) and betas (to a choice set of explanatory factors) in a multivariate setting. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011505836
natural in this context, as it provides a complete predictive distribution for future claims. The classical credibility theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002976
We introduce a Bayesian approach to predictive density calibration and combination that accounts for parameter uncertainty and model set incompleteness through the use of random calibration functionals and random combination weights. Building on the work of Ranjan and Gneiting (2010) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023291
Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) infinite-mixture models provide flexible and accurate density estimation, cluster analysis, and regression. However, for the posterior inference of such a model, MCMC algorithms are complex, often need to be tailor-made for different BNP priors, and are intractable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218948
In this paper, a very general model of survival data with (exclusive or inclusive) right censoring, explanatory processes and a baseline predictable hazard function is considered in the ocntezt of nonparametric Bayasian analysis. particular cases are semiparametric proportional hazards and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014164281
We introduce a Bayesian approach to predictive density calibration and combination that accounts for parameter uncertainty and model set incompleteness through the use of random calibration functionals and random combination weights. Building on the work of Ranjan and Gneiting (2010) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027970
This paper develops a sampling algorithm for bandwidth estimation in a nonparametric regression model with continuous and discrete regressors under an unknown error density. The error density is approximated by the kernel density estimator of the unobserved errors, while the regression function...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506243
We consider Bayesian estimation of restricted conditional moment models with linear regression as a particular example. The standard practice in the Bayesian literature for semiparametric models is to use flexible families of distributions for the errors and assume that the errors are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009684974
Bandwidth plays an important role in determining the performance of local linear estimators. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian approach to bandwidth selection for local linear estimation of time-varying coefficient time series models, where the errors are assumed to follow the Gaussian kernel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086871
The paper investigates the effects of nursing overtime on nosocomial infections and medical accidents in a neonatal intensive care unit (NICU). The literature lacks clear evidence on this issue and we conjecture that this may be due to empirical and methodological factors. We thus focus on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838501