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The conventional wisdom about Keynes's Principle of Effective Demand is that it states something about quantities. It is widely held that the Principle determines the levels of output and employment in a world not governed by Say's Law. This paper argues that the Principle of Effective Demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002521580
In diesem Beitrag werden die Grundzüge der Überinvestitionstheorien von Hyman Minsky auf der einen und die von v. Hayek/Garrison auf der anderen Seite zunächst in den „Sprachen“ der Originalbeiträge herausgearbeitet. Anschließend wird ihr möglicher Erklärungsbeitrag für die aktuelle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003961724
We study the optimal design of a disinflation plan by a planner who lacks commitment. Having announced a plan, the Central banker faces a tradeoff between surprise inflation and building reputation, defined as the private sector's belief that the Central bank is committed to the plan. Some plans...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828228
The determinacy of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models including fiscal, macro-prudential or Taylor rules relies on the assumption that policy instruments are forward-looking when policy targets are also forward-looking. Blanchard and Kahn (1980) determinacy condition does not forbid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898341
theory appears not to be a cumulative science so far. When attempts are done to settle controversies by "nature" (testing the … or non-identified when testing them. Two examples are provided, one in growth theory and testing convergence, one in … business cycles theory and testing inflation persistence. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011597938
softwares, macroeconomic theory appears not to be a cumulative science so far. Observational equivalence of different models and … growth theory and a second in testing inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902313
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967718
evaluate. The analysis in this paper is based on forecasts by Sveriges Riksbank (the central bank of Sweden) on real output and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584706
We explore the effects of forward guidance at the zero lower bound when there is uncertainty over the lift-off date arising from: (i) the imperfect credibility of time-inconsistent forward-guidance promises; (ii) incomplete communication. We use a simple New Keynesian model to demonstrate that a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959532
When Sweden left the gold standard on September 27, 1931, the Swedish government declared that the aim of monetary … targeting officially became for the first time the goal for a central bank. Soon after, the Riksbank (Bank of Sweden) sent a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551682