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Fear, overconfidence, and fundamental uncertainty shocks

Ambrocio, Gene - In: Applied economics letters 28 (2021) 9, pp. 760-764

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012501609

Quasi ex-ante inflation forecast uncertainty

Charemza, Wojciech; Díaz, Carlos; Makarova, Svetlana D. - In: International journal of forecasting 35 (2019) 3, pp. 994-1007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305215

Prospective et analyse des risques : une tentative de rapprochement

Brunet, Sébastien; Guyot, Jean-Luc - 2019

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012263962

Forecasting, uncertainty and risk management

Makridakis, Spyros G.; Williams, Terry M.; Kirkham, Richard - In: International journal of forecasting 35 (2019) 2, pp. 641-643

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300709

Forecasting, uncertainty and risk; perspectives on clinical decision-making in preventive and curative medicine

Makridakis, Spyros G.; Kirkham, Richard; Wakefield, Ann; … - In: International journal of forecasting 35 (2019) 2, pp. 659-666

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300711

Management forecasts, idiosyncratic risk, and the information environment

Kitagawa, Norio; Okuda, Shin'ya - In: The international journal of accounting : TIJA 51 (2016) 4, pp. 487-503

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011630547

The behavior of uncertainty and disagreement and their roles in economic prediction : a panel analysis

Rich, Robert W.; Tracy, Joseph S. - 2017

explore the relationship between uncertainty and disagreement, as well as their roles in respondents' forecast performance and … forecast revisions. We observe substantial heterogeneity in respondents' uncertainty and disagreement. In addition, there is … little co-movement between uncertainty and disagreement, and forecast performance shows a more robust inverse relationship …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604042

The economic value of forecasting left-tail risk

Xiong, James X.; Idzorek, Thomas M.; Ibbotson, Roger G. - In: The journal of portfolio management : a publication of … 42 (2016) 3, pp. 114-123

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011686072

Reading the tea leaves : model uncertainty, robust forecasts, and the autocorrelation of analysts' forecast errors

Linnainmaa, Juhani; Torous, Walter N.; Yae, James - In: Journal of financial economics 122 (2016) 1, pp. 42-64

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590878

Forecasting bond risk premia with unspanned macroeconomic information

Liu, Rui - In: The quarterly journal of finance 9 (2019) 1, pp. 1-62

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029073