The paper aims to contribute to a better understanding of how employment change relates to changes in poverty in the European Union’s Member States by looking at both micro and macro level correlations. EU-LFS and EU-SILC data are used to analyse trends between 2005 and 2012, to reflect also...

The article tries to contribute to a new understanding of how money is created by commercial banks and to describe the dilemma, which after some time, every Central Bank within the fractional reserve banking system faces. This dilemma provides an explication for the politics of “cheap money”...

This note explains the "Financial Activity Indexes (FAIXs)," a set of indicators developed by Bank of Japan staff which are used to detect financial imbalances.

In this paper, we compare the out-of-sample forecasting ability of three ARIMA family models: ARIMA, ARIMAX, and ARIMAX-GARCH. The models are tested to forecast turning points and trends in the Canadian real estate index using monthly data from April 2002 to March 2011. The results indicate that...

Monetary authorities in Indonesia, as well as some academicians believe the absence of a long run relation between the Indonesian stock market and developed markets prevents this emerging market from being deeply affected by the US downturn. Nevertheless, this hypothesis may not apply to the...

This paper builds a model for intervention and/or mitigation of a financial crisis by first identifying those conditions precedent to a systemic based financial crisis, and then outlying a process to integrate firm specific and systematic risk into a comprehensive strategic model. A simple...

This paper seeks to explain how failures in corporate governance contributed to the global financial crisis. More precisely, it studies how the current corporate governance systems failed to safeguard against aggressive risk taking and to provide the control that companies need in order to...

In this study we examine the performance of banks headquartered in Hollywood and banks headquartered in Silicon Valley in the period - first quarter 2008 until second quarter 2012, which includes the period of the Great Recession, December 2007 to June 2009. We find that during the financial...

The present study is an attempt to evaluate the predictability of the foreign exchange volatility in thirteen countries. The data covers the period of 2005-2009. To effectively forecast the volatility in the exchange rates, a GARCH model is used. The study compares the results between crisis...