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How do changes in population structure such as population aging affect housing markets? This paper exploits historical demographic changes to identify the effect of urban demographic change on housing costs, building on half a millennium of data on house prices, rents, and demographics. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849614
This paper investigates the long-run relationships between the size and age composition of a city's population and the price of local housing. For estimation purposes, we combine city-level demographic information with housing price data for 87 cities in Germany over the period 1995-2012....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010510612
This paper investigates how changes to the age distribution of cities' resident popu-lations shape the growth rate of local house prices in different market segments. For estimation purposes, we combine city-level demographic information with de-tailed housing price data for 87 German cities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011576969
For most of the past decades, the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region has experienced rapid expansion, driven largely by increasing energy revenues, and growth-focused government policies. As the region's population increases in size, and becomes wealthier and more urbanized, significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102716
In this paper I use a multi-period OLG model to study how a demographic shock is distributed among different generations. In particular, I investigate whether a funded pension system allows for a smoother adjustment than an unfunded system. The results suggest that the answer to this question...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341066
Using a large sample of countries and 60 years of data, the authors found a strong and intuitive link between demographic transitions and both GDP growth and capital market returns. Unlike previous researchers, who used ad hoc and restrictive demographic variables, the authors imposed a smooth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008647
This paper analyses whether the severe demographic change in Germany causes its high current account surpluses. An ageing population both increases the supply and lowers demand of capital in an economy. Due to a longer life span individuals save more. Fewer workers reduce the optimal capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012266985
Population aging challenges the financing of social security systems in developed economies, as the fraction of the population in working age declines. The resulting pressure on capital-labor ratios translates into a pressure on factor prices and production. While European countries all face...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011800785
This paper investigates the long-run relationships between the size and age composition of a city's population and the price of local housing. For estimation purposes, we combine city-level demographic information with housing price data for 87 cities in Germany over the period 1995-2012....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023660
We examine the impact of population aging on municipal access to credit. A one standard deviation increase in a state's population age leads to a 23 basis point increase in municipal bond issue spread. Three mechanisms drive this effect: income tax revenue, healthcare liabilities, and pension...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850634