Unemployment in the U.S. has risen dramatically since the start of the recession in December 2007, going from about 6 … Statistics. The methodology is to analyze the transition rates and implied steady-state levels of employment and unemployment … flow from unemployment to employment actually increased. As another example, changes in the probability of moving between …

This paper presents a framework to interpret movements in the Beveridge curve and analyze unemployment fluctuations. We … decompose the unemployment rate into three main components: (1) a component driven by changes in labor demand – movements along … driven by changes in the efficiency of matching unemployed workers to jobs. We find that cyclical movements in unemployment …

The U.S. economy continues to be characterized by a persistently-high rate of unemployment, with at least another three … years before attainment of the pre-recession unemployment rate.Six significant structural trends are identified and their … force”. And the detrimental effect of long-term unemployment is a structural impediment to becoming well-positioned to …

. In our calibration, this allows the model to generate fluctuations of unemployment, vacancies, and job-to-job transitions …

We conduct an accounting exercise of the role of worker flows between unemployment, employment, and labor force … nonparticipation in the dynamics of the aggregate unemployment rate across four recent recessions: 1982-1983, 1990-1991, 2001, and 2007 … employment and unemployment to account for the dynamics of the unemployment rate, this was not true in the Great Recession. The …

The persistence of U.S. unemployment has risen with each of the last three recessions, raising the specter that future … shocks do not systematically lead to more persistent unemployment than monetary policy shocks, so these cannot explain the … rising persistence of unemployment. Second, monetary and fiscal policies can account for only part of the evolving …

Using newly digitized unemployment insurance claims data we construct a historical monthly unemployment series for U …-level unemployment data, which are only available from January 1976 onwards, and capture consistent patterns in the business cycle. We … use our claims-based unemployment series to examine the evolving pace of post-war unemployment recoveries at the state …

We estimate Okun's law, the negative relationship between output and the unemployment rate, at the sector level for the … coefficients are proportional to the aggregate in all four countries. We also show that the standard deviation of unemployment is …