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to real economic developments even as it focuses on an inflation objective. Using monthly data, we show how speeches by … the Bundesbank's President dealing with inflation help explain both interest rate movements as well as the central bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014061630
Relying on Clive Granger's many and varied contributions to econometric analysis, this paper considers some of the key econometric considerations involved in estimating Taylor type rules for US data. We focus on the roles of unit roots, cointegration, structural breaks, and non-linearities to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014068494
inflation targeting regime. Two different empirical frameworks are used: (i) a Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135011
Based on a more realistic assumption, we modify the Taylor regression. The modified Taylor regression gives an explanation of why the (standard) Taylor regression is spurious (in the econometric sense, i.e. no stable relationship among the variables of interest) and, at the same time, a solution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686070
This paper analyses the impact of asymmetric preferences with respect to inflation and output by policymakers on … for low inflation. Using data for four G7 economies, the paper shows that, except for Germany, nonlinear and asymmetric … monetary authority develops a greater precautionary demand for output expansions than for low inflation. This may generate a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410664
This paper analyses the impact of asymmetric preferences with respect to inflation and output by policymakers on … for low inflation. Using data for four G7 economies, the paper shows that, except for Germany, nonlinear and asymmetric … monetary authority develops a greater precautionary demand for output expansions than for low inflation. This may generate a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320379
In this article, the issue of the monetary independence problem in view of the Romania's European Monetary Union accession is investigated empirically. It is frequently argued that for such a country, the main cost of participation in a currency area is the loss of monetary policy independence....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011890553
This paper analyzes the time-varying degree of inflation expectations anchoring in Bolivia and, more precisely, whether … inflation expectations have been in line with the inflation objectives announced by the Central Bank of Bolivia (BCB, for its … and medium-term inflation expectations. Second, monetary policy in Bolivia is under a monetary-targeting regime, so BCB …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011882774
inflation in the durable goods sector. We then analyze the optimal Taylor rule for this economy. If the monetary authority wants … to stabilize the aggregate output gap, it places much more emphasis on stabilizing durable goods inflation (relative to … its share of value-added in the economy). In contrast, if the monetary authority values stabilizing aggregate inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011569699
raising their interest rate instrument more than one-for-one in response to higher inflation - to an environment in which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012732859