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Popular wisdom regarding athletics is that offenses are at a relative disadvantage in the early portion of seasons. We present evidence that this anecdotal belief holds true over the 2000-2010 National Football League (NFL) seasons. This is reflected in lower offensive yardage, fewer first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107233
season 2009-2010) and the UEFA Champions League (in season 2010-2011) was associated with lower referee bias. To this end, we … means of bivariate probit regression models. We find evidence for substantial referee bias before the introduction of … of referee bias and that they are not just picking up a general time evolution towards less referee bias or the effect of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978567
From 1926 to 2016, the average stock return on the day before holiday market closings is up to 15 times the average return on all the other days of the year. We study whether this holiday effect is contingent on the subperiod over which it is estimated and locate the critical break dates that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850688
This paper examines whether the outcome bias harms price efficiency in betting exchange markets. In soccer, the match … overstated for previously lucky teams and understated for previously unlucky teams. Consistent with the outcome bias, the betting … community overestimates the importance of past match outcomes. Consequently, this bias translates into significantly negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012820013
in odds pricing, namely the favorite-longshot bias and the away-favorite bias. Furthermore, it tries to answer the … research, confirming the existence of the favorite-longshot bias, but turn out to be in contrast with regard to the away …-favorite bias, for which there is little evidence in the data. Also, we find that a strategy of betting against the favorite …
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pervasiveness of a well known Favourite-Longshot Bias (FLB) in the European football betting markets. The odds have been more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947970
gamblers who place wagers on the team totals line in cases for which expected bias is high. A naïve betting strategy that … exploits this bias using only information contained within the two betting lines themselves yields a win percentage of over 55 …
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monopolistic bookmakers will set odds exhibiting favorite-longshot bias while competitive bookmaking markets will not have this …
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