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Energy companies with commitments to meet customers' daily electricity demands face the problem of hedging load and … hedging decisions, while also intuitively capturing the key features of the electricity market. Driven by three stochastic … forwards and some options, products often used for hedging purposes. Making use of these results, we illustrate in a simple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010718752
In this paper, we derive optimal hedging strategies for options in electricity futures markets. Optimality is measured … in terms of minimal variance and the associated minimal variance hedging portfolios are obtained by a stochastic maximum …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232821
Forward sales is a credible commitment to aggressive spot market bidding, and it mitigates producers' market power in electricity markets. Still it can be profitable for a producer to make such a commitment if it results in a soft response from competitors in the spot market (strategies are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038567
Due to the call for further integration of European markets and the targeted climate goals, both European electricity systems and markets have undergone continuous changes over the last few decades. As part of these developments, the so-called Flow-Based Market Coupling (FBMC) superseded the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012038962
This paper proposes an extended version of the analytical structural model for the electricity market developed in a previous paper. The presented electricity price process is driven by stochastic load and random plant availability as well as stochastic marginal generation cost factors embedded...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970389
We provide an empirical analysis of the relationship between spot and futures prices in interconnected regional Australian electricity markets. Examining ex-post risk premiums in futures markets, we find positive and significant risk premiums for several of the considered regions. Therefore,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080530
We investigate the economic factors that drive electricity risk premia in the European emissions constrained economy. Our analysis is undertaken for monthly baseload electricity futures for delivery in the Nordic, French and British power markets. We find that electricity risk premia are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863431
In this paper, we provide empirical evidence on the market price of risk for delivery periods (MPDP) of electricity swap contracts. As introduced by Kemper et al. (2022), the MPDP arises through the use of geometric averaging while pricing electricity swaps in a geometric framework. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014277000
It is crucial to model, quantify and understand the variables and dynamics that underlie the well-known extreme behaviour of spot electricity prices in wholesale markets. We explicitly model the conditional volatility and skewness of electricity prices. A GARCH-type model allowing for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089137
We model the impact of supply and demand on risk premiums in electricity futures, using daily data for 2003-2014. The model provides a satisfactory fit and allows for unspanned economic risk not embedded in the futures price. The spot risk premium and forward bias implied by the model are on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012944078