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In this paper, I show that a sizable component of emerging market sovereign yield spreads is due to factors other than default risk such as liquidity. I estimate the non-default component of the yield spreads as the basis between the actual credit default swap (CDS) premium and the hypothetical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906256
Sovereign CDS spreads exhibit strong co-movements across countries. We use dynamic latent factor modelling to filter the global, regional and country effects on the spreads of 37 sovereigns. On average, approximately two-thirds of monthly CDS variability is accounted for by international...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056474
We assess the impact of institutional investors' demand for gilts on UK real rates by structurally estimating the model of Vayanos and Vila (2009). We therefore include those investors believed to display inelastic demand for gilts and preferences for longer-term maturities. The estimated model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022812
Since the global financial crisis, major central banks gradually switched to unconventional monetary policies (UMPs) as part of their efforts to directly influence the long-term interest rates. This study analyzes the impact of conventional/unconventional monetary policies on sovereign bond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012495030
Climate change adaptation efforts are heavily dependent on a country's fiscal capacity and the associated costs of undertaking adaptation policies. The current accumulation of high debt levels in emerging and low-income developing countries, which are disproportionately affected by climate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014529900
This study provides a dynamic analysis of the lead-lag relationship between sovereign Credit Default Swap (CDS) and bond spreads of the highly indebted southern European countries, considering an extensive time sample from the period before the global financial crisis to the latest developments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175748
In this paper we study the intra-euro area imbalances based on a dynamic general equilibrium model. We show that European financial integration and the introduction of the euro might have contributed to the development of imbalances. Interest rate convergence following EMU accession led to net...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009559664
Official lenders provide financial assistance to countries that face sovereign debt crisis. The availability of financial assistance has counteracting effects on the default incentives of governments. On the one hand, financial assistance can help to avoid defaults by bridging times of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009748733
For most European Union countries the government expenditure exceeds government revenue which could lead in the long run to an increase in the government debt to GDP ratio. Considering the distortions generated by the financial and economic crisis, followed by the debt crisis, both local and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199903
'Global imbalances' are almost universally regarded as a disequilibrium phenomenon. Caballero, Farhi, and Gourinchas (2008) challenge this notion with their dynamic general equilibrium model of global imbalances. The authors conclude that current account deficit nations need not worry about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009383585