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The introduction of the Euro has led to price level stability and fostered growth within the European Union. Consequently, since its launch as a store of value and unit of account, there has been a clear convergence between the yield of France's sovereign debt and German benchmark. This paper...
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to produce accurate forecasts of bond excess returns and to construct profitable investment strategies in bond markets … then derive the implied forecasts for bond excess returns. We find that the method delivers substantial improvements in out …
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