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For central banks, official communications serve as essential monetary policy instruments: In press releases, speeches, and interviews, central banks explain their decisions, manage expectations, and promote confidence in their strategy. This Weekly Report analyzes European Central Bank (ECB)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015398331
We construct a new measure of monetary policy surprise based on a natural language processing algorithm designed to capture contextual nuances in FOMC statements. Specifically we exploit cross-sectional variations across alternative FOMC statements to identify the statement's tone, and compare...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082331
A purported benefit of state-based forward guidance is that the private sector adjusts the expected stance of policy without further policymaker communications. This assumes a shared understanding of how policymakers are interpreting the data and that policymakers are consistent in their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013491923
show that communication outside of ECB regular monetary policy meeting days has a significant effect on daily movements in … policy decision. Our results suggest that communication outside of regular meeting days contain a monetary policy signal and …, thus, highlight the importance of this communication when studying the effects of monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306412
higher payoffs in the game when the talk is one-way as the truthful reports facilitate desired coordination …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928248
talk is one-way as the truthful reports facilitate desired coordination. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011928897
This paper proposes a new communication protocol in coordination games with binary actions and Pareto-ranked equilibria … the payoff-dominant action in the second period if and only if everyone else waited. That is, efficient coordination is … introduction of the delay option significantly promotes efficient coordination …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838087
This study experimentally investigates the role of two-sided cheap talk in decisions under asymmetric information. Unlike previous studies, our study also considers endogenous investment timing. In our experiments, subjects play two-player global games with asymmetric information. Before making...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849211
aggregate action in the presence of coordination motives. I consider situations in which every agent would like to take an … sentiments in the sense that their beliefs about the state can be biased in opposite directions. Before the coordination game is … population can jointly make a more efficient decision, especially when the coordination motive is strong but little is known …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013296974
experiment, while coordination failures emerge in the following periods sweeping away the beneficial effect of communication at … others creating socially suboptimal outcomes. We investigate if and how communication mitigates the strategic delay in … introducing communication into this setting reduces strategic delay. We implement our model in a laboratory experiment utilizing a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013375345