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Assuming benevolent managers, the debt-overhang problem suggests that distressed firms generally refrain from issuing equity. In contrast, agency theory predicts that distressed firm managers have strong self-interests to finance even deteriorating projects through equity issuance. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038070
The aim of a warning forecast is to signal “early enough” unfavorable changes in selected business activity areas, described by time series. A warning forecast is, by nature, a long-term forecast; its characteristic feature is the fact that it does not give values of forecasted variables but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061428
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831545
This document describes the development of a financial health indicator based on companies' financial statements. This indicator is conceived as a weighted combination of variables, which is obtained through a model discriminating between failing firms and non-failing firms. The definition of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011596313
This paper addresses two issues encountered in the empirical financial distress literature: a-theoretical treatment of leverage and product-market competition as predictors of financial distress hazard; and lack of attention to frailty as a potential source of bias in reported estimates. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014533532
A robust secondary market has emerged over the past twenty years in the debt of Chapter 11 firms. Critics worry that the trading associated with this market has undermined bankruptcy governance, by forcing managers to negotiate with shifting groups of activist investors in the Chapter 11...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914520
We discuss a simple, exactly solvable model of stochastic stock dynamics that incorporates regime switching between healthy and distressed regimes. Using this model, which is analytically tractable, we discuss a way of extracting expected returns for stocks from realized CDS spreads,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863946
We investigate the relationship between bankruptcy risk and expected future sales growth for Norwegian non-listed firms for the period 1988-2007. We find that firms with high bankruptcy risk also have high expected future growth. Financial ratios characterizing firms with high bankruptcy risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014185729
This paper provides new evidence on the roles and strategies adopted by different types of debtor-in-possession (DIP) lenders: “loan-to-loan” (LTL) lenders — prepetition secured bank lenders providing DIP financing, and “loan-to-own” (LTO) lenders — activist investors (i.e., hedge...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014157129
if suppliers attain the right to initiate insolvency under bankruptcy laws. However, suppliers’ incentives to safeguard … their customer base can deter them from initiating insolvency proceedings, making these rights a hollow threat. In this … paper, we investigate the impact of insolvency rights to suppliers under bankruptcy laws on their trade credit behavior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013309010