<section xml:id="fut21687-sec-0001"> Most empirical evidence suggests that the efficient futures market hypothesis, henceforth referred to as EFMH, stating that spot and futures prices should cointegrate with a unit slope on futures prices, does not hold, a finding at odds with many theoretical models. This article argues that...</section>

In this paper we test for predictability of excess stock returns for 18 emerging markets. Using a range of macroeconomic and institutional factors, through a principal component analysis, we find some evidence of in-sample predictability for 15 countries. In-sample predictability is corroborated...

In this paper we examine the long-run relationship between gold and oil spot and futures markets. We draw on the conceptual framework that when oil price rises, it creates inflationary pressures, which instigate investments in gold as a hedge against inflation. We test for the long-run...