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Monte Carlo (MC) simulation is a technique that provides approximate solutions to a broad range of mathematical problems. A drawback of the method is its high computational cost, especially in a high-dimensional setting. Estimating the Tail Value-at-Risk for large portfolios or pricing basket...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011194455
The most recent financial crisis unveiled that liquidity risk is far more important and intricate than regulation have conceived. The shift from bank-based to market-based financial systems and from Deferred Net Systems to liquidity-demanding Real-Time Gross Settlement of payments explains some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010763701
In this paper we introduce a calibration procedure for validating of agent based models. Starting from the well-known financial model of Brock and Hommes 1998, we show how an appropriate calibration enables the model to describe price time series. We formulate the calibration problem as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464388
Following the definition of systemic risk by the Financial Stability Board, the International Monetary Fund and the Bank for International Settlements, this paper proposes a method able to simultaneously address the two dimensions in which this risk materializes: namely the cross-sectional and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011739610
Using virtual stock markets with artificial interacting software investors, aka agent-based models (ABMs), we present a method to reverse engineer real-world financial time series. We model financial markets as made of a large number of interacting boundedly rational agents. By optimizing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973139
In this paper we introduce a calibration procedure for validating of agent based models. Starting from the well-known financial model of Brock and Hommes 1998, we show how an appropriate calibration enables the model to describe price time series. We formulate the calibration problem as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010463489
Trend rules are widely used to infer whether financial markets show an upward or downward trend. By taking suitable long or short positions, one can profit from a continuation of these trends. Conventionally, trend rules are based on moving averages (MAs) of prices rather than returns, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022894
The objective of this paper is to demonstrate how the boosting approach can be used to define a data-driven board balanced scorecard (BSC) with applications to S&P 500 companies. Using Adaboost, we can generate alternating decision trees (ADTs) that explain the relationship between corporate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080514
In this paper we introduce a calibration procedure suitable for the validation of agent based models. Starting from the well-known financial model of Brock and Hommes 1998, we show how an appropriate calibration technique makes the model able to describe price time series. In particular, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013062765
Using an agent-based model (ABM) with fundamentalists and chartists, prone to develop bubbles and crashes, we demonstrate the usefulness of direct market intervention by a policy maker, documenting strong performance in preventing bubbles and drawdowns and augmenting significantly the welfare of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271219