Showing 21 - 30 of 148
We present a comprehensive macroeconomic model for the U.S. There exist strict long-term relations between real GDP, price inflation, labor force participation, productivity, and unemployment. The evolution of real GDP depends only on exogenous demographic forces. Other macro-variables follow up...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723567
Labor productivity in developed countries is analyzed and modeled. Modeling is based on our previous finding that the rate of labor force participation is a unique function of GDP per capita. Therefore, labor productivity is fully determined by the rate of economic growth, and thus, is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012724214
The evolution of labor force participation rate is modeled using a lagged linear function of real economic growth, as expressed by GDP per capita. For the U.S., our model predicts at a two-year horizon with RMSFE of 0.28% for the period between 1965 and 2007. Larger part of the deviation between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012724425
Headline CPI, core CPI and indices for various expenditure categories were analyzed. Long-term linear trends have been found in the difference between the core CPI and the headline CPI in the USA. Duration of these periods is different for positive (18 years) and negative (8 years) trends, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012725732
A linear link between Samp;P 500 return and the change rate of the number of nine-year-olds in the USA has been found. The return is represented by a sum of monthly returns during previous twelve months. The change rate of the specific age population is represented by moving averages. The period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012728507
The average and median income dependence on work experience and time is analyzed and modeled for the USA. The original data set providing the mean and median income estimates in 10 year long intervals spans a long time period of almost 35 years - from 1967 to 2003.A microeconomic model linking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012734248
A comprehensive study of the personal income distribution (PID) in the USA is carried out. Principal characteristics of the PID in USA are established.A microeconomic model of the personal income distribution and evolution with time is developed. The model balances two processes - individual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012734249
The transition of several East and Central European countries and the countries of the Former Soviet Union from the socialist economic system to the capitalist one is studied. A recently developed microeconomic model for the personal income distribution and its evolution and a simple functional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012734250
Numerical modelling of the personal income distribution (PID) in the USA from 1950 to 2003 is accomplished based on a microeconomic model for the personal income evolution. It is shown that the overall PID demonstrates the existence of some fixed hierarchical income distribution structure in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012734254
The personal income distribution (PID) above the Pareto threshold is studied and modeled. A microeconomic model is proposed to simulate the PID and its evolution below and above the Pareto income threshold. The model balances processes of income production and dissipation for any person above 15...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012734255