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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009558269
This paper reviews the empirical literature on international spillovers and contagion. Theoretical models of spillover and contagion imply that the reduced form observable variables suffer from two possible sources of bias: endogeneity and omitted variables. These econometric problems in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963951
Contagion has mostly been interpreted and tested as a break from a stable linear correlation of financial markets caused by an extraordinary shock. This paper argues that quantile regression can provide a tool to investigate alterations in other features of financial returns' distribution caused...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925155
This paper develops a methodology for detecting and measuring contagion using high frequency data which disentangles continuous and discontinuous price movements. We demonstrate its finite sample properties using Monte-Carlo simulation, focusing on the empirically plausible parameter space....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831449
Empirical evidence of cross-asset market linkages when bond markets plunge is scarce in the co-movement correlation literature. In this note we investigate stock-sovereign bond return correlations focusing on the Greek debt crisis period. We show that the return correlation between the two asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058569
This paper presents a canonical, econometric model of contagion and investigates the conditions under which contagion can be distinguished from inter-dependence. In a two-country (market) setup it is shown that for a range of fundamentals the solution is not unique, and for sufficiently large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319602
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This paper compares different fiscal integration schemes on the basis of their ability to finance public investments and resilience to debt distress and contagion. Complete integration schemes, where a central authority chooses the level of public investments with productivity-enhancing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011396411
During the recent financial crisis in the U.S., banks reduced new business lending amidst concerns about borrowers' ability to repay. At the same time, firms facing higher borrowing costs alongside a worsening economic outlook reduced investment. To explain these aggregate business cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009690835