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From 1990 to 2013, US portfolio flows to foreign stocks and bonds nearly quadrupled. Across 44 countries, I show that non-US firms with stock returns that are more sensitive to these cross-border flows are more likely to sell stocks and bonds, but display lower investment and employment growth...
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We examine the effects of political uncertainty on cross-border capital flows using election timing as a source of fluctuations in political uncertainty. FDI flows from US companies to foreign affiliates drop significantly during the period just before an election and increase after the...
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We examine the effects of government policy uncertainty on cross-border capital flows. FDI flows from US companies to foreign affiliates drop significantly during the period just before an election. The election effect for FDI is larger than election cycles in domestic investment. The electoral...
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Measuring the impact of political risk on investment projects is one of the most vexing issues in international business. One popular approach is to assume that the sovereign yield spread captures political risk and to augment the project discount rate by this spread. We show that this approach...
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