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The paper discusses criteria for comparing risk aversion of decision makers when outcomes are multidimensional. A weak concept, "commodity specific greater risk aversion", is based on the comparison of risk premia paid in a specified commodity. A stronger concept, "uniformly greater risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014070595
We consider individual's portfolio selection problems. Introducing the concept of ambiguity, we show the existence of portfolio inertia under the assumptions that decision maker's beliefs are captured by an inner measure, and that her preferences are represented by the Choquet integral with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014070834
extend to distinct PWFs in the gain and loss domains, as under prospect theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350127
The literature on proper scoring rules has mostly studied the case of risk neutral agents. We analytically investigate how risk averse, expected utility maximizing forecasters behave when presented with risk neutral proper scoring rules. If the state variable is binary, risk averse agents shade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109463
Given the possibility to modify the probability of a loss, will a profit-maximizing insurer engage in loss prevention or is it in his interest to increase the loss probability? This paper investigates this question. First, we calculate the expected profit maximizing loss probability within an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395085
The preference reversal phenomenon is one of the most important, long-standing, and widespread anomalies contradicting economic models of decisions under risk. It describes the robust observation of frequent "standard reversals" where long-shot gambles are valued above moderate ones but then the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012390055
extend to distinct PWFs in the gain and loss domains, as under prospect theory. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014292798
As illustrated by the famous Ellsberg paradox, many subjects prefer to bet on events with known rather than with unknown probabilities, i.e., they are ambiguity averse. In an experiment, we examine subjects’ choices when there is an additional source of ambiguity, namely, when they do not know...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009569669
experiments. Contrary to the traditional view of expected utility theory, the choices can be explained in large part by previous … outcomes or surpassed by favorable outcomes. Our results point to reference-dependent choice theories such as prospect theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348343
Different models of uncertainty aversion imply strikingly different economic behavior. The key to understanding these differences lies in the dichotomy between first-order and second-order ambiguity aversion which I define here. My definition and its characterization are independent of specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349377