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smoothing spline methodology. The real term structure allows computation of the constant-maturity inflation compensation, which … is compared with the surveyed inflation expectations in order to obtain a rough measure of the inflation risk premium …. The comparison between the inflation compensation and the inflation swap shows that the two variables are closely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110056
We revisit the concept of the cost of hedging inflation risks put forward in Bodie (1976). When doing so, we employ a …-varying compensation for expected and unexpected inflation shocks embedded in the sovereign bond yields of Germany, France, Japan and the … reflection of a low real risk-free rate, low inflation expectations and a low cost for hedging inflation risks. We have not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842461
The purpose of this paper is to study the compensation for inflation risks priced in sovereign bond yields. And we do … so by modelling the time-varying dynamics of asset returns and inflation, and then estimating the cost of hedging … inflation risks from the perspective of a well diversified portfolio. This allows to disentangle the time-varying compensation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830326
that the relative equity and bond yield values are, to a large extent, driven by inflation volatility. High inflation … benign inflation volatility when the bond yield became higher. Evidence for a long span of US data, and shorter German …, Japanese, and UK data, suggests the recent rise in the equity yield is accompanied by an uptick in inflation volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011963922
generally find that deflation terms contributes negatively to such a premium and inflation positively. The magnitudes of the … coefficients associated with deflation tend to be greater, compared to those associated with inflation. This suggests that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012165922
inflation in the euro area. As far as real rates are concerned, we find that they are not affected by macroeconomic surprises in … the United States, but they are by surprises in inflation and monetary policy in the euro area. Inflation expectations in … both areas are not systematically influenced by monetary policy surprises. In the United States forward inflation risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072623
This paper estimates Inflation risk premia in the Euro area based on nominal swap yields, inflation swap rates, CPI and … conclude that inflation risk premia is insignificant, where a model including surveys will that it significant. Finally our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156985
government bonds to derive expected inflation rates and the corresponding inflation risk premia, in the euro area and in the … factors and one inflation factor; the model provides substantial information related to expected inflation and inflation risk … market and economic outlook in the United States and by news on inflation in the euro area; this preliminary results can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120560
On 4 March 2011, SUERF – The European Money and Finance Forum and the National Bank of Poland jointly organised a conference on the theme of: "Monetary Policy after the Crisis". Following a call for papers with a large number of submissions, the scientific committee selected 9 papers, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011710723
yields' fluctuations and highlight the roles of a tight monetary policy stance and expectations of lower inflation in … negative inflation slope points to higher odds of a recession within a year. An aggressive removal of policy accommodation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013279282