We propose a new measure of investor disagreement based on thirty-nine factors from the return-predicting anomaly literature. Consistent with theoretical work on volume, we show that a one standard deviation change in anomaly-based disagreement is associated with a 16.7% higher turnover in the...

This paper proposes a dynamic information diffusion model that explains the lead-lag reaction of stock prices resulting from the interaction of price trends and implied price risk (IPR). Consistent with our model's predictions, we construct a zero investment underreaction portfolio (overreaction...

We provide new evidence on investor disagreement based on a model where investors observe public information but agree to disagree on its interpretation. Specifically, we measure firm-level investor disagreement by the intraday volume-volatility elasticity around corporate news announcement. A...

We extend the noise trader risk model of Delong et al. (J Polit Econ 98:703–738, 1990) to a model with multiple risky assets to demonstrate the effect of investor sentiment on the cross-section of stock returns. Our model formally demonstrates that market-wide sentiment leads to relatively...

We examine the relation between the probability of future stock price crash and investors’ investment horizons. Using negative skewness as a proxy for firm-specific crash risk, we document a positive association between institutional ownership and stock price crash risk. The relation is,...

We examine institutional demand prior to well-known stock return anomalies and find that institutions have a strong tendency to buy stocks classified as overvalued (short leg of anomaly), and that these stocks have particularly negative ex-post abnormal returns. Our results differ from numerous...

Investor sentiment affects stock market liquidity by affecting noise trading and irrational market makers. Previous studies have focused on this effect with the time-series variation in sentiment and liquidity. This paper utilizes firm-specific news sentiment (FSNS) to examine its effect on...

Research showing that the lowest risk stocks tend to outperform the highest risk stocks over time has led to rapid growth in so-called low-risk equity investing in recent years. We examine the performance of the low-risk strategy previously considered in the literature and of a beta-neutral...

We use a heterogeneous agent model to explain market crashes resulting from an unanticipated deleveraging shock. In a market with short sale constraints, when the opinions of investors diverge substantially, the market price is set by the demand schedule of optimistic investors while pessimistic...

I first show that taking moving averages of the term spread, the dividend yield, and the Shiller’s CAPE, significantly increases their ability to predict one month and 12-month forward equity market excess returns, and the state of the business cycle. Dividend yield, CAPE and term spread are...