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We develop a methodology to measure the capital shortfall of commercial banks in a market downturn, which we call stressed expected loss (SEL). We simulate a market downturn as a negative shock on interest rate and credit market risk factors that reflect the banks' market-sensitive assets. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877252
We investigate the extent to which various structural risks exacerbate the materialization of cyclical risk. We use a large database covering all sorts of cyclical and structural features of the financial sector and the real economy for a panel of 30 countries over the period 2006Q1-2019Q4. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013391113
improvement in the systemic risk measurement. The results provide evidence in favour of risk measurement improvements by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662132
In a banking network model, the ranking consistency of various popular systemic risk measures (SRMs) is analyzed. In contrast to previous studies, this model-based analysis offers the advantage that the sensitivity of the ranking consistency with respect to bank and network characteristics can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969147
Fintech has increasingly become part of the global economy with the evolution of technology, increasing investments in fintech firms, and greater integration between traditional incumbent financial firms and fintech. Since the 2007-2009 financial crisis, research has also paid more attention to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219547
The urgency of estimating the impact of climate risks on the financial system is increasingly recognized among scholars and practitioners. By adopting a network approach to financial dependencies, we look at how climate policy risk might propagate through the financial system. We develop a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855741
This article contributes to the quantification of systemic risk within the Moroccan banking system, focusing on listed banks. We utilize indicators derived from Tail Value at Risk and expectiles risk measures, as introduced by El qalli and Said (2013) (El Qalli & Said, 2023), to measure the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014505870
Conditional value at risk (CoVaR) and marginal expected shortfall (MES) have been proposed as measures of systemic risk. Some argue these statistics should be used to impose a “systemic risk tax” on financial institutions. These recommendations are premature because CoVaR and MES are ad hoc...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014150174
We model the systemic risk associated with the so-called balance-sheet amplification mechanism in a system of banks with interlocked balance sheets and with positions in real-economy-related assets. Our modeling framework integrates a stochastic price dynamics with an active balance-sheet...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098508
This paper presents an analysis of the dynamic measures of volatility connectedness of major bank stocks in the US and the EU member countries. The results show that in the early stages of the US financial crisis in 2007 and 2008, the direction of the volatility connectedness was from the US...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010239322