A State Price Density (SPD) is the density function of a risk neutral equivalent martingale measure for option pricing, and is indispensible for exotic option pricing and portfolio risk management. Many approaches have been proposed in the last two decades to calibrate a SPD using financial...

The valuation of options and many other derivative instruments requires an estimation of exante or forward looking volatility. This paper adopts a Bayesian approach to estimate stock price volatility. We find evidence that overall Bayesian volatility estimates more closely approximate the...

A State Price Density (SPD) is the density function of a risk neutral equivalent martingale measure for option pricing, and is indispensible for exotic option pricing and portfolio risk management. Many approaches have been proposed in the last two decades to calibrate a SPD using financial...

This paper builds on existing asset pricing models in an intertemporal CAPM framework to investigate the pricing of options on interest rate futures. It addresses the issues of selecting the preferred pricing kernel model by employing the second Hansen-Jagannathan distance (HJD) criterion. This...

The market for Adverse Development Cover and Loss Portfolio Transfer has been growing in the past few years. Despite this growth, reinsurers are still struggling to define a standard method for pricing such covers. In this context, this article aims at providing an innovative method for pricing...

Catastrophe (CAT) bond markets are incomplete and hence carry uncertainty in instrument pricing. As such various pricing approaches have been proposed, but none treat the uncertainty in catastrophe occurrences and interest rates in a sufficiently flexible and statistically reliable way within a...

This paper investigates time-changed infinite activity derivatives pricing models from the sequential Bayesian perspective. It proposes a sequential Monte Carlo method with the proposal density generated by the unscented Kalman filter. This approach overcomes to a large extent the particle...

We propose a method for constructing an arbitrage-free multi-asset pricing model which is consistent with a set of observed single- and multi-asset derivative prices. The pricing model is constructed as a random mixture of N reference models, where the distribution of mixture weights is obtained...

In Longstaff and Schwartz (2001) a method for American option pricing using simulation and regression is suggested, and since then the method has rapidly gained importance. However, the idea of using regression and simulation for American option pricing was used at least as early as in Carriere...

Chen and Shen (2003) argue that it is possible to improve the Least Squares Monte Carlo Method (LSMC) of Longstaff and Schwartz (2001) to value American options by removing the least squares regression module. This would make not only faster but also more accurate. We demonstrate, using a large...