We present two valuation models that we use to account for the annual data on price per share and dividends per share for the CRSP Value-Weighted Index from 1929-2023. We show that it is a simple matter to account for these data based purely on a model of variation in the expected ratio of...

We propose a new framework to explain the factor structure in the full cross section of Treasury bond returns. Our method unifies non-parametric curve estimation with cross-sectional factor modeling. We identify smoothness as a fundamental principle of the term structure of returns. Our approach...

This study investigates the relationship between stock liquidity and frm innovation for publicly traded growing small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in China using both innovation input and output. We collected samples of 785 SMEs from China's Shenzhen Growth Enterprises Market without the...

We develop a tractable model of costly stock short-selling and lending market within a familiar dynamic asset pricing framework. The model addresses the vast empirical literature in this market and generates implications that support many of the empirical regularities. In the model, investors'...

This paper tests the idea that financial intermediaries who act as arbitrageurs in the asset market help determine the equilibrium risk of financial assets. They do this by turning “alphas” into “betas”; assets with large abnormal returns attract more arbitrage and covary correspondingly...

Since firms time the stock market through equity net issuance, the direction of net issuance reveals the firm's net present value calculation and an asset pricing model of risk most likely to be used in the calculation. We take this insight to develop a test that infers an asset pricing model...

We propose the bear beta, i.e. the sensitivity of hedge funds to a bear spread portfolio orthogonalized to the market, as a novel way of classifying funds as insurance buyers or sellers. We find that low bear beta funds (insurance sellers) outperform high bear beta funds (insurance buyers) by...

We combine a customized survey and randomized controlled trial (RCT) to study the effect of higher-order beliefs on U.S. retail investors' portfolio allocations. We find that investors' higher-order beliefs about stock market returns are correlated with but distinct from their first-order...

We investigate how the accounting treatment of intangible assets on managers' likelihood of issuing voluntary earnings guidance (MEF). We find that unrecognized intangibles (immediately expensed) are negatively associated with MEF issuance, while recognized intangibles (capitalized) show a...

This paper explores the asymmetric connectedness of systemic risk between the oil and global stock markets in both the time and frequency domains. To do so, we introduce time-varying parametric vector autoregressive (TVP-VAR) spillover index models and implied volatility indices to examine risk...