In this paper, we empirically examine the relationship between return predictability and investor sentiment when the stock fundamentals exhibit regime shifts. This study is motivated by the fact that the predictive power of sentiment may be weakened if we do not separately identify the price...

We examine the asymmetry in the predictive power of investor sentiment in the cross-section of stock returns across economic expansion and recession states. We test the implication of behavioral theories and evidence that the return predictability of sentiment should be most pronounced in an...