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countries. Country characteristics and existing global and local risk factors do not account for such predictability, leading to … large abnormal returns, up to 15% per annum. We identify a global political risk factor (P-factor) commanding a risk premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851461
Assessing and pricing country risk poses a considerable challenge to tactical asset allocation across national equity … markets. This research examines the relationship between the country composite risk (together with its component risks related … profitability of the risk-based strategies disappear in the years following the global financial crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992516
This article investigates the risk-return relations of stocks traded in frontier markets, a class of small, illiquid …-section of risk premiums of 360 stocks traded in 19 frontier markets for the period from January 1997 to June 2004. We first … country specific factors including political, economic and financial risk ratings. Two surprising findings emerge from this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149806
The oil price volatility index (OPVI) is a direct and more accurate measure of oil price uncertainty. The significance of the crude oil prices volatility index is used in this paper to examine the effects of crude oil uncertainty on the aggregate and market returns in various economic sectors....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014515073
We document the predictive ability and economic significance of global economic policy uncertainty for U.S. equity returns. After orthogonalizing global economic policy uncertainty (global EPU) with respect to the U.S. EPU, we find that it has significant predictive power for aggregate stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242535
effect may be a result of both rational risk pricing and market inefficiency while remain silent on the cause of trading …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860225
virtue of the long-run data set, we are also able to relate the importance of world consumption risk for the cross-section of … 1900 to 2008 in a setting where investors have recursive utility. We find strong evidence that a long-run risk consumption … CAPM that prices international stock returns via their exposures to multi-period consumption growth in world consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134128
, we use a new conditional-risk factor, which is a market timing strategy defined as the unexpected return on the market … times the ex ante price of risk. The factor is a powerful tool for documenting a global effect of conditional risk on stock … returns: across 23 developed countries, all major equity risk factors load on our conditional-risk factor with the right sign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853465
making and risk management. Over the past three decades there has been a trend towards increased asset return correlations … models proposed in the literature can be used to formally characterize and quantify market risk. In particular, we ask how … adequate these models are for modelling market risk at times of financial crisis. In doing so we consider a multivariate t …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965868
making and risk management. Over the past three decades there has been a trend towards increased asset return correlations … models proposed in the literature can be used to formally characterize and quantify market risk. In particular, we ask how … adequate these models are for modelling market risk at times of financial crisis. In doing so we consider a multivariate t …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094817