This paper proposes a path-dependent approach for estimating realignment probabilities of targeted exchange rates based on first-passage-time distributions instead of the commonly used path-independent approach. We consider that path dependency is an intrinsic characteristic of realignment risk...

This paper assesses whether agency ratings and market-based default risk measures are consistent for East Asian banks during the period 1996 to 2006. While the market-based measures are broadly consistent with the credit rating assessments for banks in developed economies, the discrepancy...

The theoretical prediction of target exchange rates expects mean reversion of the exchange rates. This paper presents a model for valuing European foreign exchange options, in which the forward foreign exchange rate follows a mean-reverting lognormal process. The mean-reverting process has...

This paper proposes an analytic method to estimate the option-implied correlation embedded in options on the iTraxx Europe CDS indexes. The option-implied correlation is suggested as a measure of the spillover effect of default risk between the financial and corporate sectors in Europe. In...

Following the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers in mid-September 2008, there were severe disruptions in international money markets and banks reportedly faced severe liquidity shocks, in particular US-dollar funding shortages, prompting central banks around the world to adopt unprecedented policy...

This paper proposes a model to estimiate option-implied correlation embedded in options on the iTraxx Europe indexes as a measure of the spillover effect of default risk between the financial and corporate sectors in Europe. The correlation structure between the iTraxx Financials and...

The study conducts an empirical test on dollar-denominated sovereign credit spreads in emerging markets, including Brazil, Colombia, Mexico, the Philippines, the Russian Federation, and Turkey to examine their relationship with each country's exchange rate and the United States (US) Treasury...

This article provides a generalized two-firm model of default correlation, based on the structural approach that incorporates interest rate risk. In most structural models default is driven by the firms' asset dynamics. In this article, a two-firm model of default is instead driven by the...