We investigate the propagation of contagion through banks' balance sheets in a two-country model. We simulate an increase in non-performing loans in one bank, and study the effects on other banks and the macro economy of each country. We show that credit crunches destabilize each economy in the...

The events from the 2007–09 financial crisis have raised concerns that the failure of large financial institutions can lead to destabilizing fire sales of assets. The risk of fire sales is related to exemptions from bankruptcy's automatic stay provision enjoyed by a number of financial...

We apply computational linguistic text mining (TM) analysis to extract and quantify relevant Chinese financial news in an attempt to further develop the classical early warning models of financial distress. Extending the work of Demers and Vega (2011), we propose a measure of the degree of...

This paper assesses the importance of adverse health shocks as triggers of bankruptcy filings. We view car crashes as a proxy for health shocks and draw on a large sample of police crash reports linked to hospital admission records and bankruptcy case files. We report two findings: (i) there is...

The availability of credit insurance via credit default swaps (CDSs) has been closely associated with the emergence of empty creditors. We empirically investigate this issue by looking at the debt restructurings (distressed exchanges and bankruptcy filings) of rated, non-financial U.S. companies...

This study proposes a simple theoretical framework that allows for assessing financial distress up to five years in advance. We jointly model financial distress by using two of its key driving factors: declining cash-generating ability and insufficient liquidity reserves. The model is based on...

After the financial crisis in 2008, the negative abnormal stock price returns on the downgrade announcements with respect to the firms that eventually filed for Chapter 11 are no longer significant. Because the negative CARs for the firms that were within the same rating categories but did not...

We examine the question of whether the rate of business insolvencies in New Zealand is related to overall macroeconomic conditions. In particular, our interest is in whether the rate of business insolvencies changed in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). We find that there was a large...

A financial market can be expressed in a network structure where the stocks resides as nodes and the links account for returns correlation. Centrality measure in the financial network structure captures firms' embeddedness and connectivity in the capital market structure. This paper investigates...