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Existing methods of partitioning the market index into bull and bear regimes do not identify market corrections or bear market rallies. In contrast, our probabilistic model of the return distribution allows for rich and heterogeneous intra-regime dynamics. We focus on the characteristics and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089748
Existing methods of partitioning the market index into bull and bear regimes do not identify market corrections or bear market rallies. In contrast, our probabilistic model of the return distribution allows for rich and heterogeneous intra-regime dynamics. We focus on the characteristics and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014176894
We discuss the empirical importance of long term cyclical effects in the volatility of financial returns. Following … existence of significant long term cyclical patterns in volatility with a strongly supported periodic component corresponding to … US economy and long term changes in the volatility of the basic stock market index …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007872
volatility. The research also examines the impact of powerful foreign capital markets on the Greek Stock Exchange market, the … seasonality returns (Day-of-the-Week effect) and the volatility structure. Design/methodology/approach - The analysis of data is …-GARCH model demonstrate that the debt crisis and, therefore, its consequences increase the FTSE / ASE 20 index volatility and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011433994
the multivariate factor stochastic volatility (MSV) model, which is extremely efcient for fnancial market analysis and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014541628
substantial volatility. Among them, macro-control policies and transaction cost adjustments are a double-edged sword, which should …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011649287
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009532264
. According to the results, bear periods have higher volatility persistency than bull periods. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010470512
In this study, the performance of the Multifractal Model of Asset Returns (MMAR) was examined for stock index returns of four emerging markets. The MMAR, which takes into account stylized facts of financial time series, such as long memory, fat tails and trading time, was developed as an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474619
In this paper we discuss univariate and multivariate statistical properties of volatility with the aim of understanding … stock's volatilities and the volatility clustering. Volatility clustering is related to the memory property of the … volatility time-series and therefore to its predictability. Our results show that there exists a relationship between the level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099664