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We use the responses of a representative sample of Dutch households to survey questions that ask how much they would consume of an unexpected, transitory, and positive income change, and by how much they would reduce their consumption in response to an unexpected, transitory, and negative income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960015
Although the number of immigrant households in the Netherlands is substantial, the labor supply choices of this group … time to different activities. In order to do so, we empirically estimate a collective household labor supply model. The … main findings are that: (1) Leisure and household income are the most important variables in the utility function of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003335454
communicated to respondents. The analysis is based on a set of hypothetical questions posed in the DNB Household Survey as well as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088834
Although the number of immigrant households in the Netherlands is substantial, the labor supply choices of this group … time to different activities. In order to do so, we empirically estimate a collective household labor supply model. The … main findings are that: (1) Leisure and household income are the most important variables in the utility function of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349201
This paper provides original empirical evidence on the emerging practice by central banks of communicating uncertainty in their inflation projections. We compare the effects of point and density projections in a learning-to-forecast laboratory experiment where participants' aggregated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842567
About half of professional forecasters report that they use the natural rate of unemployment (u*) to forecast. I show that forecasters' reported use of and estimates of u* are informative about their expectations-formation process, including their use of a Phillips curve. Those who report not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897100
How forward guidance influences expectations is not yet fully understood. To study this issue, I construct central bank data that includes forward guidance and its attributes, central bank projections, and quantitative easing, which I combine with survey data. I find that, in response to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012291197
Central bank communication plays an important role in shaping market participants’ expectations. This paper studies a simple nonlinear model of monetary policy in which agents have incomplete information about the economic environment. It shows that agents’ learning and the dynamics of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003781685
In this paper we analyze whether central bank communication can facilitate the understanding of key economic concepts. Using survey data for consumers and professionals, we calculate how many of them have expectations consistent with the Fisher Equation, the Taylor rule and the Phillips curve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021981
This paper surveys the literature on the role and effects of central bank communication with the general public, particularly regarding the formation of macroeconomic expectations. It starts by giving a brief overview of the recent "communication revolution" in central bank communication. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014384011